After week 1 (in which there isn’t a very clear difference in standings due to the number of different record possibilities (3)), Cloud9 found itself struggling in 9th and 10th place for four weeks straight. In Week 6, however, four teams from the middle of the pack went 0-2, and Cloud9 took their first 2-0 of the season, hopping out to 6th place. The next week, they got to 4th, and now are three-way tied for 3rd. Going into week 9, I want to look at what made this odyssey possible, and why I wasn’t worried about all the things Reapered had been doing since week 1.
First of all, however, we need to lay out what exactly happened (something that the LoLesports website doesn’t have: a good records section). Here’s a graphic I made (it’s bad I know):
Reapered started out with a shocking decision: taking Jensen, Sneaky, and Smoothie off the starting roster for week 1. This enraged most C9 fans, as benching the three longtime players didn’t make much sense from the outside. In interviews, Jack revealed that Reapered had come to him, asking to make the moves that would get the team to Worlds, saying that the current roster simply wasn’t going to make it. Undoubtedly, Goldenglue, Keith, and Zeyzal are by no means bad players, but to most, they seemed like a downgrade. The roster went 1-3 over the first two weeks.
An quick sidenote: It’s really hard to judge whether something is working based on only the record. The fact that there are only two games a week simply isn’t a large enough sample size to know if something is working or broken–it could be unlucky, or maybe lucky. Yet, teams still have to be able to win those two games week to week. That’s why, in my opinion, Reapered’s decisions will be wiser than any of ours will ever be–he has the advantage of working personally with the players, and knowing and seeing performance in scrims every day.
By the way, I am saying Reapered here because I believe he holds the main responsibility for making team decisions. I know everyone always throws Jack in there (“I can’t believe Reapered and Jack are doing this to my team”) but I really doubt Jack is involved at all in deciding who is going on stage or not. I am not personally aware of any other coaching staff that would be sharing authority with Reapered, so I’m simply attributing it all to Reapered.
Whatever the reason, whether it be unsatisfactory record or something more internal that we outside fans cannot understand, Reapered decides to switch it up in Week 3. He brings back Jensen and Smoothie–not completely what everyone expected, since Sneaky is still out and now there are two midlaners playing at the same time. However, the meta lends itself to mages in the bottom lane, so it seems okay. Unfortunately, C9 goes 0-2 this week.
Reapered’s next move is to take Smoothie off again, and change out Goldenglue for Sneaky. Everyone is happy. Nobody really cares about anything else; Sneaky is back. With Sneaky, C9 finally ends the losing streak. However, the week ends in a 1-1 after a disappointing game against CLG.
At this point, fans are not too shaken up yet. Reapered tried what was received as a bad idea, and now has re-evaluated and essentially “reverted” to something more previously proven. He sees something not working, and makes the changes. Seems okay so far.
What is interesting, is that Reapered is trying many combinations of the same players. A couple years ago, the analysts’ talk would be all about synergy, and who has been playing together the longest. For a while, CLG got bonus points for being the longest-intact roster, which must mean that they work better together, no? When new rosters struggled to find wins, analysts would attribute it to the fact that they need a couple weeks to re-synergize. Either Reapered is throwing out the ideas of synergy out the window with these frequent changes, or maybe he has a master plan to build synergy between all 10 Cloud9 players.
After week 4, Cloud9 is 2-6. Pretty abysmal. Sharing 9th and 10th place. However, looking beyond the record, Cloud9 has actually looked not too bad in games, usually stretching out to an early lead before losing in the late game. Players from other teams said in interviews that they were still scared of Cloud9, despite their losing record. Their record didn’t betray their strength.
After their Week 4 Day 1 win, Sneaky says in his interview with Ovilee that Cloud9 can really only afford three more losses before being locked out of playoffs. Casters and analysts lock onto his words and repeat them. I’m not certain this is a hard and fast condition, but it is true that nobody has really gone into playoffs before with that many losses. However, the standings are remarkably very close, and jumping a couple places any which way for any team is still possible within a couple of wins or losses. (Notably, if you look ahead a bit, Cloud9 has actually only lost two games after that interview.)
At this point, I’m personally sad that my favorite player, Smoothie, hasn’t been playing, but I know that Reapered must know more than me. I know some of my fellow C9 fans have been very salty, but I think it’s clear that all 10 players on C9 are good enough and deserve to start in LCS–there just aren’t enough spots for all the talented people. Yes, I’m sad that Smoothie isn’t playing, but I’m also glad that other talent is getting a chance. I’m not too nervous because the standings are still close. It does suck, watching the games every week, getting out to a lead and then ultimately losing. But we don’t look un-redeemable.
Nobody is ready for what happens next: Smoothie is traded away. Easily one of the best supports in NA is no longer part of the organization. This basically means that Zeyzal is going to be starting for the rest of the season (the only other option is Feng; well, I won’t say Reapered won’t do it, but I don’t think he will).
On the same week, Blaber is put in from Academy, swapped for Svenskeren. For some reason I hear some fans glad that Sven is out? Which I don’t get. Sven has always been good and I don’t know why you would not like him, but I guess some people do. What is interesting is that Blaber (previously known as blaberfish2), who was talent recruited from the 2017 Scouting Grounds, is doing pretty well with the team. He has a typical super-aggro carry jungle style, reminiscent of how Dardoch and MikeYeung were when they first entered LCS.
Finally, Cloud9 stabilizes into a string of wins, and Reapered also stops switching the roster around. Svenskeren is hanging out in Academy. In Week 8, Reapered makes a mid-week switch out of the mid-jungle duo to face Team Liquid specifically. He says that as a team, they have been working on putting Blaber and Jensen together as well as Sven and Goldenglue. The subbed-in duo specifically helps Cloud9 blast Team Liquid out of the water.
Again, many fans are in an outrage. Reapered goes into many interviews, goes on Twitter, explaining his moves. He seems apologetic that he hasn’t explained more. I don’t know if it’s just me, but I see it in another way. I don’t really need explanations from Reapered. I think that all the players that he has put in thus far are talented and strong enough to play in LCS, and no player corresponds or anti-corresponds to wins or losses. In fact, if anybody, Blaber is easily the most volatile, but it’s been working out for him.
If you throw the old ideas of synergy out the window, it all makes good sense. I’ve been comparing it to a baseball team: if you take out one fielder and put in another, the team still works seamlessly, simply because of how everyone plays near-perfect in roughly the same way. Of course, there isn’t as much room for variation in playstyle in baseball as there is in League of Legends, but I feel like the overall principle should be similar. At the highest level of League of Legends, you should be able to make micro-adjustments by putting in or taking out players. On The Dive this week, Jatt compared Jensen vs. Goldenglue to “switching pitchers in a baseball game,” but gave the caveat that it was only in a perfect world and probably isn’t the same.
Honestly, it’s too big brain for me. I am just content to cheer for Cloud9, no matter who is playing, and hope they make playoffs. Lucky for them, it’s been on a steady upswing in a tight horserace, and other teams have been on the down. I’ll leave the big brain stuff to Reapered, because I love all the Cloud9 boys, and it doesn’t matter who’s playing.
As Cloud9 goes into Week 9 in a three-way tie for 3rd place, it’ll be important for them to win the last two games–especially against Flyquest, who they are 1-0 against, but are also tied with. If they can take the 2-0 against Flyquest, it would make ties a lot less stressful. The 100 Thieves match is also important just for record, but not so much for ties. We’ll see if NA’s last hope will reappear again.